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Module 2: Appraising Evidence

Quality Assessment

For any study that you wish to include in your paper, you must first assess its quality and validity. This critical evaluation will allow you to:

  • assess the benefits and strengths of the research against its flaws and weakness
  • determine if the study has been undertaken in a method that produced reliable findings
  • the results make sense -- the math adds up
  • know what these results mean in the context of the decision/conclusions that are being proposed
  • assess the usefulness of the evidence for informing future clinical decisions 

There are three questions that you should apply to any study:

  1. What are the results?
  2. What is the risk of bias in the study?
  3. Will the results help me in caring for my patients?

There are a number of checklists that you can use to assist with determining the quality of a study. Below are some recommended resources.

Validity Questions to consider for Systematic Reviews 

1. Did the review explicitly address a sensible question?

2. Was the search for relevant studies detailed and exhaustive?

3. Was the risk fo bias of the primary studies addressed?

4. Was the selection and assessment of studies reproducible?

Adapted from: Guyatt, GH. Users' guides to the medical literature: a manual for evidence-based clinical practice. 3rd edition. McGraw-Hill, 2015.

Validity Questions to consider for Therapy articles

1. Were the patients randomized?

2. Was group allocation concealed?

3. Were patients in the treatment and control groups similar with respect to known prognostic factors?

4. Were 5 important groups (patients, care givers, collectors of outcome data, adjudicators of outcome, and data analysts) aware of group allocation?

5. Outside of experimental intervention, were the groups treated equally?

6. Was follow-up complete?

7. Were patients analyzed in the groups to which they were randomized?

Key issues for therapy studies -- FRISBE

  • Follow up
  • Randomized/concealed allocation
  • Intention to treat
  • Similar at baseline
  • Blinding
  • Equal treatment

Adapted from: Guyatt, GH. Users' guides to the medical literature: a manual for evidence-based clinical practice. 3rd edition. McGraw-Hill, 2015.

Validity Questions to consider for Diagnostic studies

1. Did the clinicians face diagnostic uncertainty?

2. Did investigators compare the test to an appropriate, independent reference standard?

3. Were those interpreting the test and reference standard blind to the other result?

4. Did the investigators perform the same reference standard to all the patients regardless of the results of the test under investigation?

Adapted from: Guyatt, GH. Users' guides to the medical literature: a manual for evidence-based clinical practice. 3rd edition. McGraw-Hill, 2015.

Validity Questions to consider for Prognosis studies

1. Was the sample of patents representative at a well-defined point in the course of the disease or disorder?

2. Were the patients sufficiently similar with respect to prognostic factors?

3. Was the follow up complete? 

4. Were outcomes criteria objective and unbiased?

Adapted from: Guyatt, GH. Users' guides to the medical literature: a manual for evidence-based clinical practice. 3rd edition. McGraw-Hill, 2015.

Validity Questions to consider for Harm/Etiology studies

Includes what to consider for a COHORT STUDY  and a CASE CONTROL STUDY

1. In a COHORT STUDY did the exposed and control group start and finish with the same risk for outcome?

  • Were the patients similar for prognostic factors that are known to be associated with the outcome?
  • Were the circumstances and methods for detecting the outcome similar?
  • Was the follow up sufficiently complete?

2. In a CASE CONTROL STUDY  did the cases and control group have the same risk (chance) of being exposed in the past?

  • Were the cases and controls similar with respect to the indication or circumstances that would lead to exposure?
  • Were the circumstances and methods for determining exposure similar for cases and controls?

Calculate the odds ratio (OR) -- a measure of association between an exposure and an outcome. Represents the odds that a person with the outcome was exposed compared to the odds that a person without the outcome was exposed.

Adapted from: Guyatt, GH. Users' guides to the medical literature: a manual for evidence-based clinical practice. 3rd edition. McGraw-Hill, 2015.

For THERAPY STUDIES

Experimental Event Rates (EER): the outcome present/total in an experimental group

Control Event Rate (CER): the outcome present/total in control group

Absolute Risk Reduction (ARR): an absolute comparison of risks. Tells you how much lower the modified risk is than the starting risk. Subtracts the event rates. control/placebo group (starting risk) - experimental group (modified risk)

Absolute Risk Increase (ARI): the arithmetic difference the rates of events in the experimental and control groups. EER - CER

Relative Risk Reduction (RRR): a relative comparison of risks. Tells you how much lower the modified risk is relative to the starting risk. Absolute risk reduction / control group (starting risk)

Relative Risk Increase (RRI): the proportional difference in risk between the rates of events in the control group and the experimental group. RRI is usually a larger number than the ARI . CER - EER / CER

Number Needed to Treat (NNT):  the number of patients that need to be treated with the experimental treatment compared to the control treatment for 10 years in order ot have one patient experience a good outcome. 1 / absolute risk reduction (ARR)

Numbers Needed to Harm (NNH): the number of patients that a clinician would have to treat with the experimental treatment over the specific period of time to report one additional patient with an adverse outcome. Numbers Needed to Harm (NNH) = 1 / absolute risk increase (ARI)

For COHORT STUDIES

Calculate the risk ratio/relative risk (RR) -- the ratio of the probability of an outcome occurring in an exposed group compared ot the probability of the outcome occurring in a non-exposed group

For CASE CONTROL STUDIES

Calculate the odds ratio (OR) -- a measure of association between an exposure and an outcome. Represents the odds that a person with the outcome was exposed compared to the odds that a person without the outcome was exposed.

Adapted from: Guyatt, GH. Users' guides to the medical literature: a manual for evidence-based clinical practice. 3rd edition. McGraw-Hill, 2015.